Rams vs. Packers Week 12 Prediction
Football fans might be treated to a possible NFC playoff preview on Sunday when the Packers host the Rams at 4:25 p.m. ET. With the Rams laying 1.5 points as a road favorite and the total sitting at 47, what’s the best bet on the board when it comes to this matchup?
269 Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) at 270 Green Bay Packers (+1.5); o/u 47
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 28, 2021
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Los Angeles Rams DFS Spin
NFL.com columnist Jim Trotter said there’s a “growing perception that the more physical and muddy an opponent makes the game, the less the Rams like it.” The Rams have been physically dominated on both sides of the ball over the past couple weeks. In Week 9, the Derrick Henry-less Titans beat the Rams 28-16 while sacking Matthew Stafford five times and picking him off twice. The 49ers on Monday night intercepted two Stafford passes — one for a touchdown — while pressuring him throughout and sacking him twice. It’s a curious trend for a Rams offensive line graded by Pro Football Focus as the best pass-blocking unit in the NFL. Stafford has been terrible under pressure over the past two games, completing six of 18 passes for 37 yards. On Monday night, the Niners defense overwhelmed the Rams, especially when LA was forced into obvious passing situations. Cooper Kupp is likely the only Rams player who can withstand the team’s offensive struggles. Sean McVay will try to right the ship during the Rams’ Week 11 bye.
Green Bay Packers DFS Spin
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports “there’s some optimism” that Aaron Jones (knee, questionable) will play in Week 12 against the Rams. Pelissero noted that Jones will still have to go through pre-game warmups to see if he’s able to play. That means we won’t know his status until the first wave of games has already kicked off. Jones missed last week with the MCL sprain and it was previously reported that he could be held out one more week. The Packers get their bye in Week 13 so an additional game off would give him a long stretch of rest. However, Green Bay takes on the Rams in a game that could ultimately decide the fate of the NFC this week. If Jones is healthy, his team is going to want him back. He will likely give up a little extra work to AJ Dillon if he does suit up, making him a high-end RB2 in Week 12.
Rams vs. Packers Betting Prediction
The Rams are 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Packers and are just 1-4 against the number in their last five games at Lambeau Field. The Rams are also winless against the spread in their last four games overall, are 0-4 against the number as a favorite and are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games played in the month of November. The Packers, meanwhile, are 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, are 9-1 against the number in their last 10 games overall and are 6-1 at the betting window in their last seven conference games.
NFL WEEK 12 BETTING PREDICTION: GREEN BAY PACKERS +1.5