Arkansas vs. Baylor Prediction & Odds

Arkansas vs. Baylor 1/28/23 Betting Prediction, Odds, & Trends

Unranked Arkansas heads to Waco, Texas, to play #17 Baylor on ESPN at 4:00 PM ET Saturday evening. Can the Razorbacks cover the 6.5-point spread as road underdogs?

Arkansas is 14-6 on the year with their best wins coming over Missouri and San Diego State. Their worst losses came against LSU and Vanderbilt. The Razorbacks are 9-10-1 against the spread this season.

Baylor is 15-5 this season with their best wins coming over Kansas and UCLA. Their worst losses came against Marquette and Iowa State. The Bears are 10-9-1 against the spread this year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

669 Arkansas Razorbacks (+6.5) vs. 670 Baylor Bears (-6.5); O/U 142

4:00 PM ET, Saturday, January 28, 2023

Ferrell Center, Waco, TX

Arkansas vs. Baylor Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Razorbacks in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 84% of public bets are on Arkansas +6.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Arkansas Game Notes

Arkansas has been missing two of their better players since December. Both Nick Smith Jr. and Trevon Brazile have been out for more than a month and the Razorbacks have missed their combined scoring average of 24.6 points per game. If that wasn’t enough, Arkansas forward Makhi Mitchell is questionable for Saturday’s game with a foot injury. Mitchell is averaging 7.7 points per game in 20.5 minutes per contest for the Razorbacks this season. 

Due to injuries, the scoring load has fallen on junior guard Ricky Council IV. Council is third in the SEC in scoring with 16.8 points per game and is second on the Razorbacks in steals with 1.6 per game. He’ll likely have to step up for Arkansas to cover this contest. 

Baylor Game Notes

Baylor’s best outside shooter is senior guard Adam Flagler. The 6’3” native of Duluth, GA, is averaging 16.1 points and 5.1 assists per game for the Bears this year while shooting a blistering 43.6% from beyond the arc. Flagler has made more than one three-pointer in 8 of his last 9 games and may need to make multiple treys again for Baylor to cover this contest.

Baylor’s leading rebounder is 6’7” junior forward Jalen Bridges. Bridges is averaging 9.6 points and 5.7 rebounds per game while shooting 50.7% from the floor for the Bears this season. 

Arkansas vs. Baylor CBB Betting Trends

Arkansas is 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing fewer than 50 points in their previous game.

Baylor is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.

Baylor is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.

The under is 13-3 in Arkansas’s last 16 games following an outright win.

Arkansas vs. Baylor CBB Prediction:

Arkansas has looked bad at times this season. They had a stretch where they lost 4 conference games in a row. The Razorbacks seem to have righted the ship, however, as they’ve won their last 2 games by double digits. Baylor is coming off of a big win over Kansas on Monday night and may find it hard to get up for Arkansas, a “lesser” opponent. This is also a potential look-ahead spot for the Bears, as they play at #10 Texas on Monday night. I think Arkansas catches Baylor in a good spot and either keeps the game tight or wins it outright. I’ll take the Razorbacks and the points.


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