Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves 2/5/23 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The number-one seed Denver Nuggets travel to Minneapolis to face the eighth-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night at 7:00 PM ET. Can the Timberwolves cover the 1.5-point spread as home underdogs?

The Denver Nuggets are 37-16 on the season. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 28-24-1 ATS on the year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 28-27 on the season. They’re 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Timberwolves are 26-29 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

577 Denver Nuggets (-1.5) at 578 Minnesota Timberwolves (+1.5); O/U 230.5

7:00 PM ET, Sunday, February 5, 2023

Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bettors are currently backing the Timberwolves +1.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.

Denver Nuggets DFS Spin

Denver guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope left the Nuggets’ game Saturday night with an ankle injury and he’s officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s tilt with the Timberwolves. Caldwell-Pope is averaging 11.5 points per game in 50 starts for Denver this year.

If you need scoring and assists from your point guard spot, consider Denver’s Jamal Murray. Over his last 6 contests, Jamal Murray is averaging 29.8 points and 7.2 assists per game. In that same span, Murray has averaged 3.8 made three-pointers per game. He leads the team in shot attempts and should get a healthy dose of the offensive workload on Sunday.  

Minnesota Timberwolves DFS Spin

Minnesota center Karl-Anthony Towns hasn’t played since late November and he’ll miss Sunday’s game and likely several more after that. The Timberwolves' other center is Rudy Gobert and he’s listed as questionable for Sunday’s game with right groin soreness. Gobert is averaging a double-double with 13.4 points and 11.6 rebounds per game this season.

Minnesota shooting guard Anthony Edwards is having a breakout campaign. The former #1 overall pick in 2020 is averaging career-bests in points per game (24.8), rebounds per game (6.1), assists per game (4.6), and steals per game (1.7) this season. If all that wasn’t enough, Anthony Edwards is also shooting better from the field (46.1%) and from deep (36.7%) than he has in his entire career. He might be in for a big day against a Denver team that’s playing on the second night of a back-to-back and ranks 16th in defensive efficiency on the year.  

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Betting Trends

Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.

Minnesota is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Sunday games.

Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Denver is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Minnesota.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Prediction

I think the schedule is going to catch up with Denver on Sunday. They will be playing their fourth game in six nights and their third game in four nights. On the flip side, Minnesota has been surprisingly good at home this season. The Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 10-4 ATS this season as a home underdog. This is the first half of a home-and-home between these two teams and I could see the Timberwolves winning on Sunday with the Nuggets winning Tuesday’s game at home in Denver. For Sunday, I like the Timberwolves to win the game outright, but I’ll take the points as the pick. 


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