Chargers vs. Jaguars Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s Chargers and Jaguars game is sitting at 43 points after opening at that same number. Where’s the value for bettors when it comes to betting the total?
149 Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at 150 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3); O/U 43
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 8
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chargers are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Spin
Philip Rivers completed 20-of-29 passes for 265 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in the Chargers' 23-20, Week 13 loss to the Broncos. Rivers threw a horrendous interception to DT Dre’Mont Jones in the first quarter that resulted in Tyrod Taylor briefly warming up. The veteran QB did recover well enough, finding Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen for 30-plus yard touchdowns thanks in large part to blown coverage. It’s been a rough year for Rivers and the Chargers, but he continues to rack up pass attempts with the offense often in comeback mode. Rivers is a low-end QB2 for next week's matchup against the Jaguars.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
Jaguars coach Doug Marrone said Gardner Minshew will start in Week 14 against the Chargers. Marrone credited Minshew's mobility as a major reason for the change, but Nick Foles' fate was sealed after Sunday's abysmal three-and-out fest against Tampa Bay's porous defense. The Jaguars' coach also confirmed this move is "ideally" for the team's final four games. Minshew didn't complete the comeback against the Bucs on Sunday but did previously evade pressure and play above expectations in his last eight starts. Jacksonville will likely attempt to sweeten the pot with a draft pick when attempting to trade Foles' contract this offseason. Designating the veteran as a post-June 1 release would entail the Jaguars take on dead cap hits worth $21.3M and $12.5M over the next two seasons.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-1 in the Chargers’ last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The under is 5-1 in the Jaguars’ last six home games when facing a team with a losing road record.
The under is 20-5-1 in the Chargers’ last 26 games played in the month of December, is 12-4 in their last 16 games as a favorite and is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall. The under is also 4-0 in the Jaguars’ last four games played in December, is 9-2 in their last 11 home games and has cashed in eight of their last 11 games coming off a loss.
NFL Week 14 Prediction: Chargers/Jaguars UNDER 43