Tyreek Hill SBLV Prop Predictions
Will Chiefs receiver Tyreek Hill go off in Super Bowl LV? We have our top Hill player prop predictions for Super Bowl Sunday.
101 Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at 102 Tampa Bay Bucs (+3); o/u 56.5
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 7, 2021
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards: o/u 92.5
Hill absolutely torched the Bucs in Tampa when these two teams met in Week 12. He went off in the first quarter, catching seven passes for 203 yards and two touchdowns while finishing his day with 13 receptions for 269 yards and three scores. I like to use fantasy football statistics when gauging the value of player prop odds and Tampa Bay finished ranked 24th against fantasy receivers in 2020. Hill is projected to record over 100 yards of receiving in a plus-match, so I’m taking the over for his receiving yards prop.
Super Bowl Prop Prediction: Over 92.5 Receiving Yards
Tyreek Hill Receptions: o/u 7.5
I mentioned how Hill caught 13 passes against the Bucs in Week 12, but he also hauled in nine receptions against the Bills in the AFC Championship Game and eight versus the Browns in the Divisional round. While he didn’t catch more than six passes in his final four regular-season games, I like him to keep his playoff pace for receptions in the Super Bowl and while he’s projected to catch only seven passes against the Bucs, it’s close enough to take roll with the over on Sunday.
Super Bowl Player Prop Prediction: Over 7.5 Receptions
Tyreek Hill Length of Longest Reception: o/u 27.5
Hill got behind the Tampa secondary for 75 and 44-yard touchdowns in the first quarter in Week 12, then later scored on a 20-yarder in the third quarter. His longest gain in the AFC title game went for 71 yards and he caught a 26-yard pass against the Browns. Over the course of the entire season (plus playoffs), Hill went for over 27.5 yards on his longest reception 10 times in 17 games. I’ll take my chances he makes it 11-for-18 on Super Bowl Sunday.
Super Bowl Player Prop Prediction: Over 27.5 Yards Longest Reception