Titans vs. Chiefs First Half Total Pick
While the total for Sunday’s AFC Championship Game currently sits at 52 points for the game, bettors can wager on the first half number, which is listed at 52. What’s the better bet to hit in the first half: over or under?
What are the first half lines?
According to oddsmakers from Caesars Casino currently list the Chiefs as 4-point favorites to cover the first half line, although the juice is shaded to -115. As for the total, the number sits at 25 in the first half, with the standard -110 juice on both the over and the under.
What is the line for the entire game?
As of early Sunday morning, the Chiefs are still laying 7 points to the Titans in today’s AFC Championship Game, while the total sits at 52 points. Our NFL Public Betting Chart page shows that 63% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs to cover the spread, but that’s been the case all week and the line hasn’t budged.
First Half Total Prediction
When it comes to the game, the Titans have been an under team in the playoffs, cashing the under in seven of their previous eight postseason games and in six of their last seven playoff road games. As for the Chiefs, the under is 5-2 in their last seven games overall and 40-19-1 in their last 60 games as a home favorite. But those trends refer to the entire game, not the first half.
When it comes to the first half this season, the under is 11-5-2 in Titans games and 8-9 in Chiefs games. With the way that Tennessee can run the ball with Derrick Henry, as well as the penchant for oddsmakers to perhaps inflate the first-half lines for Kansas City games thanks to Patrick Mahomes and Co., the first-half under has the best value in my eyes.
In fact, when you take a deeper dive, the under is 8-3 in the Titans’ 11 road games this season, including playoffs. The under is also 5-4 in the Chiefs’ nine home contests this season, which also includes last week’s Divisional round matchup with the Texans (which sailed over the 24.5-point number). I understand bettors might be apprehensive to back the under in the first half today given what happened in the first half at Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday (where the Chiefs and Texans combined to score 52 points in the first two quarters), but again, this is where I see the value.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP FIRST HALF BETTING PREDICTION: TITANS/CHIEFS UNDER 25