Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction & Odds

Purdue vs. Michigan, 12/3/22 Big Ten Championship Game Prediction

Michigan is likely to crack the college football playoff regardless of whether or not it loses to Purdue on Saturday night in the Big Ten Championship Game at 8:00 p.m. ET. That said, will the Wolverines still roll as 17-point favorites?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

323 Purdue Boilermakers (+17) at 324 Michigan Wolverines (-17); o/u 51.5

8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, December 3, 2022

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Purdue vs. Michigan Public Betting Information

As of this writing, our CFB Public Betting page shows that 56% of bets are on Purdue. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

Purdue Boilermakers Game Notes

Aidan O'Connell was 18-for-29 passing for 290 yards and two touchdowns during Saturday's 30-16 win versus Indiana. He also had five rushes for negative six yards. O'Connell accounted for two of the Boilermakers' three touchdowns on offense to secure the team its first-ever appearance in the Big Ten Championship. The graduate senior also logged his highest yards per attempt since Purdue's Week 2 win over Indiana State, as he found top wideout Charlie Jones for a 58-yard completion in the second quarter to go along with another 60-yard scoring hookup in the fourth quarter. While O'Connell did not have any problems while facing the Hoosiers' poor pass defense, he'll likely need to come away with his best performance of the season in order to defeat Michigan in next week's conference title matchup.

Michigan Wolverines Game Notes

Blake Corum is expected to undergo left knee surgery in the near future and will miss the remainder of the 2022-23 season, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Corum tried to play through the knee injury in Michigan's Week 13 game at Ohio State, but he took only two carries before sitting out the rest of the Wolverines' 45-23 victory. After taking a few days to reassess Corum, Michigan and the running back decided it was in the player's best interest to have surgery and get a more permanent fix for the knee issue. The Heisman Trophy candidate will thus sit out in Saturday's Big Ten Championship game against Purdue and any potential College Football Playoff contests to follow. He'll finish a brilliant junior season with 247 carries for 1,463 rushing yards and 19 total touchdowns, potentially setting him up to be one of the first running backs off the board if he opts to forgo his remaining eligibility to enter the 2023 NFL Draft. Donovan Edwards will step in as Michigan's starting running back the rest of the way.

Purdue vs. Michigan Betting Trends

Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings

Over is 8-1 in Boilermakers last 9 games following a ATS win

Over is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 games in December

Under is 9-4 in Wolverines last 13 games overall

Purdue vs. Michigan Betting Prediction

The Boilermakers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games versus an opponent with a winning record, are 5-1 against the number in their last six neutral site games and have covered in four of their last five games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous contest. On the other side, the Wolverines are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five neutral site games and have dropped five of their last six games against the number when playing in the month of December.

BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTION: PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +17

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