Michigan vs. Ohio State Prediction & Odds

Michigan vs. Ohio State 11/26/22 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Number three Michigan heads to Columbus to face #2 Ohio State at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday in a much-anticipated showdown between undefeated rivals.

Can the Wolverines cover the spread as 7.5-point road underdogs?

Michigan is 11-0 on the year, with their best wins coming against Penn State and Illinois. They will look to remain unbeaten on Saturday. The Wolverines are 6-4-1 ATS on the year. 

Ohio State is 11-0 on the year with their best wins coming against Notre Dame and Penn State. They will look to finish their Big Ten schedule undefeated for the first time since 2020. The Buckeyes are 5-5-1 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

187 Michigan Wolverines (+7.5) at 188 Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5); O/U 56 

12:00 PM ET Saturday, November 26th, 2022

Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH

Michigan vs. Ohio State Public Betting Information

The public slightly favors the Wolverines in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 53% of public bets are on Michigan +7.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around. 

Michigan Game Notes

Michigan star running back Blake Corum injured his left knee last week against Illinois and is listed as questionable, but he said he’s fine and is expecting to play on Saturday. That’s good news for the Wolverines because Blake Corum is one of the best backs in the country. He ranks seventh in the country in rushing attempts (245), fourth in rushing yards (1,457), and second in rushing touchdowns (18). Michigan will need him to run well if they want to win and/or cover this game.

A few other injury notes for Michigan: The Wolverines’ sack leader Mike Morris missed last week’s game against Illinois but isn’t on the injury report for Saturday’s game so he should be ready to go. Tight end Luke Schoonmaker has missed the last 2 games for Michigan and he’s questionable for Saturday’s contest. Michigan backup running back Donovan Edwards missed last week’s game as well and is officially listed as questionable for the Ohio State game.

Ohio State Game Notes               

The Buckeyes may be without one or both of their top two running backs on Saturday. Ohio State leading rusher Miyan Williams missed the previous two games with a lower-body injury and he’s listed as questionable for Saturday’s contest. Second-leading rusher TreVeyon Henderson is also questionable with a lower-body injury. Henderson has already missed three games for Ohio State this season and that number may grow to four this weekend.

Ohio State recruits so well that they may be OK even if they’ll be without their top two running backs. Third-string running back Dallan Hayden has posted back-to-back games with 100+ yards rushing and a touchdown. The freshman from Memphis has averaged an efficient 5.4 yards per carry in both of those games, which is above his season average of 5.0. Hayden will likely need to be a factor for Ohio State to win this game by more than a touchdown.   

Michigan vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Michigan is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

Michigan is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games.

Ohio State is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing over 280 passing yards in their previous game.

The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Michigan and Ohio State. 

Michigan vs. Ohio Betting Prediction

Ohio State is favored by 7.5 points in this game. In the last 10 meetings between Ohio State and Michigan, the Buckeyes have beaten the Wolverines by 8 points or more 5 times. This is a storied rivalry with a rich history, but two games resemble this contest from the past: 2006 and 2016. In 2006 #2 Michigan played #1 Ohio State at Columbus. Both teams were 11-0 and Ohio State was favored by 7. The Buckeyes triumphed in the end 42-39. In 2016 the Buckeyes again hosted Michigan, but this time both teams were 10-1. Ohio State ended up squeaking out a win in double overtime 30-27 on a Curtis Samuel touchdown run. I think this game is a close contest that mirrors the games in 2006 and 2016. I believe Michigan has a legitimate chance at winning outright, which is why I’ll take the Wolverines and the points.  


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