Bucks vs. Suns Game 5 Prediction
The home team has won and covered in all four of the first four matchups between the Bucks and Suns in the 2021 NBA Finals. With the series shifting back to Phoenix, does that make the Suns the best play on the board tonight for Game 5 at 9:00 p.m. ET?
509 Milwaukee Bucks (+4) at 510 Phoenix Suns (-4); o/u 218.5
9:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, July 17, 2021
Phoenix Suns Arena, Phoenix, AZ
Milwaukee Bucks DFS Spin
Giannis Antetokounmpo hit 11-of-19 shots and 4-of-8 free throws for 26 points, 14 rebounds, eight assists, three steals and two blocks in Wednesday's huge 109-103 win over the Suns to tie the Suns at 2-2 in the NBA Finals. Giannis wasn't the story of this game until he recovered to block a Deandre Ayton layup late to save the game for the Bucks. Phoenix was slightly in control of this game for most of the night, but Devin Booker, who couldn't foul out as hard as he tried, was in foul trouble and the Bucks pulled it out in the end. The series will head back to Phoenix for Game 5 on Saturday, and will then head back to Milwaukee for Game 6 on Tuesday. This feels like a seven-game series, regardless.
Phoenix Suns DFS Spin
Chris Paul said the partially torn ligaments in his right hand have not affected him in the Finals. "I'm good," CP3 said, when asked about the impact of his hand injury. He's coming off an aberrant performance in Game 4, during which he shot 5-of-13 from the field with five turnovers, but coach Monty Williams also dismissed concerns. “A blip on the screen, that’s how I would term it," Williams said. "You’re not going to see Chris have those kind of games frequently ... He's fine. Other than having to deal with me, he's good."
Bucks vs. Suns Game 5 NBA Finals Prediction
The Bucks are winless against the spread in their last five trips to Phoenix and are 3-8 against the number in their last 11 games versus the Suns overall. The Bucks have also dropped 11 of their last 14 games ATS when an underdog and are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games as a road underdog (not to mention 5-12 ATS in their last 17 playoff games as a dog). Meanwhile, the Suns have covered in seven of their last nine games as a home favorite, are 10-3-1 at the betting window in their last 14 games as a favorite and are 13-4 against the spread in their last 17 games as a favorite.
NBA FINALS GAME 5 BETTING PREDICTION: PHOENIX SUNS -4