Heat vs. Cavs Prediction & Odds
The Heat have won seven out of their last 10 games and are taking on the Cavs at 7:00 p.m. ET. Is Miami the smart ATS play when it comes to tonight’s matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
569 Miami Heat (+5) at 570 Cleveland Cavs (-5); o/u 212
7:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Heat vs. Cavs Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 69% of public bettors are currently backing the Cavaliers when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Tyler Herro shot 5-of-9 from beyond the arc in Sunday's 122-117 loss to the Hornets, scoring 24 points (9-of-21 FGs, 1-of-1 FTs) with five rebounds and three assists in 35 minutes. Herro entered Sunday shooting 16.2% from three and 39.8% from the field overall in his last six games. While he took a step in the right direction in one of those areas, shooting better than 50% from beyond the arc, he made just four of 12 2-point attempts. Due to his recent slump, Herro is providing 15th-round value in 9-cat formats over the last two weeks, a far cry from his season-long value (5th-round). Backcourt partner Kyle Lowry also struggled on Sunday, going 3-of-11 from the field and finishing with 11 points, four rebounds, five assists, and two 3-pointers. If Miami is to avoid the play-in tournament, they'll need Herro and Lowry to get back on track.
Cleveland Cavs DFS Spin
Cedi Osman was lights out Sunday, hitting 11-of-13 shots and 7-of-7 triples for a game-high 29 points to go with two rebounds, two assists, two steals and a block across 22 minutes. Osman averaged just 5.0 points and 13.3 minutes across his last 10 games before erupting against Los Angeles. He comfortably led the Cavs in scoring and delivered a season-high point total in the process. Donovan Mitchell logged only 20 minutes in his return, and no Cavs’ starter played more than 27 as Cleveland handily dispatched a Clippers team missing multiple starters. The 29 points match his career-high in the scoring department, and the seven triples are a new personal best for the Turkish forward. Osman's monumental output is a fun storyline but a clear outlier, and there's no reason to add him off the waiver wire.
Heat vs. Cavs NBA Betting Trends
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings
Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Cleveland
Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall
Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall
Heat vs. Cavs NBA Prediction:
The Heat are 12-5 against the spread in their last 17 games versus the Cavs, are 6-2 against the number in their last eight games versus a team with a winning record and have covered in four of their last five road games when facing an opponent with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. On the other side, the Cavs are 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games following an ATS win, are 1-6 against the number in their last seven games following a straight up win and are winless at the betting window in their last four games coming off a win of more than 10 points.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +5